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Foundation Research

Interactive studies.

Click-through learning modules, visual structure exploration, and interactive exercises. The foundation’s framework made tangible: things you can engage with rather than only read.

About this section

What Studies are.

Studies are interactive learning modules built around the foundation’s methodology. They include visual structure exploration (clicking through wave patterns, cycle constituents, Fibonacci geometries), probabilistic exercises (running Bayesian updates with custom inputs), confluence reading practice across the five layers, and historical comparison tools. The aim is understanding through interaction rather than only through reading.

For the underlying methodology, see the Library. For ongoing research notes, see Notes.

Interactive LearningHands-on
Planned modules

In preparation.

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Bayesian Update Lab

Adjust priors and evidence weights. Watch how posterior probabilities shift in response. Practice the core mechanism behind calibrated forecasting in a small interactive environment.

ProbabilityInteractive Exercise
In preparation
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Cycle Decomposition Explorer

Add and remove constituent cycles of different periods. See how composite oscillations emerge from underlying frequencies. Develop intuition for what cycle analysis can and cannot reveal.

CyclesVisualisation
In preparation
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Elliott Wave Basics · The Impulse Wave

An interactive step-by-step walk through the impulse, the most common form of motive wave. Click through how the five-wave impulsive structure builds, wave by wave, and read what each wave represents in market psychology. Lesson 1 of 6 in the Elliott Wave Basics module.

Market StructureInteractive Lesson
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Elliott Wave Basics · The Corrective Wave

After every impulse comes a correction. This lesson walks through the A-B-C structure that retraces part of the prior advance: how each wave forms, what each represents psychologically, and the one hard rule that defines a valid correction. Lesson 2 of 6 in the Elliott Wave Basics module.

Market StructureInteractive Lesson
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Elliott Wave Basics · Wave Psychology

The wave pattern is more than price structure. Each wave carries a characteristic emotional, news-flow and sentiment signature, and crowd emotion peaks before price at major tops. This interactive lesson walks through what each wave feels like and shows the divergence between sentiment and price across the full cycle. Lesson 3 of 6 in the Elliott Wave Basics module.

Behavioural FinanceInteractive Lesson
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Elliott Wave Basics · Fibonacci Relationships

The mathematical structure beneath the wave pattern. This interactive lesson walks through the Fibonacci ratios that appear again and again between wave lengths: how Wave 2 retraces Wave 1, why Wave 3 commonly extends to 1.618 times Wave 1, the shallow retracement rule for Wave 4, Wave 5 equality, the corrective ratios for B and C, and why confluence beats single levels. Lesson 4 of 6 in the Elliott Wave Basics module.

Quantitative StructureInteractive Lesson
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Elliott Wave Basics · Fractality

The deepest insight of Elliott Wave: the same five-three pattern repeats at every degree of trend. Each wave subdivides into smaller waves of the same form, and the whole cycle is itself one wave at a larger degree. This interactive lesson walks through the recursive structure of the framework, the rules of subdivision, and the standard hierarchy of wave degrees from Subminuette to Grand Supercycle. Lesson 5 of 6 in the Elliott Wave Basics module.

Recursive StructureInteractive Lesson
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Elliott Wave Basics · Rules & Invalidation

The closing lesson of the Elliott Wave Basics module. A consolidated treatment of the hard rules, the guidelines that round them out, and the invalidation logic that turns wave counting into a disciplined hypothesis-testing framework rather than pattern recognition. Each rule is visualized as a price-level invalidation zone on the chart. Lesson 6 of 6.

Hypothesis TestingInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · The Zigzag

The first lesson of the new Corrective Patterns module. A deep study of the zigzag, the most common corrective pattern in Elliott Wave: its 5-3-5 sub-wave structure, the standard, truncated, and extended variants, and the typical positions where zigzags appear inside larger wave counts. Interactive drag test for the variant zones. Lesson 1 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · The Flat

The sideways correction. A deep study of the flat pattern in Elliott Wave: its 3-3-5 sub-wave structure, the regular, expanded, and running variants, and how the positions of the B and C waves determine the type. Interactive drag test for both B and C to explore all variant combinations. Lesson 2 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · The Triangle

The consolidation correction. Five segments A-B-C-D-E, each subdividing into 3 sub-waves (3-3-3-3-3 total). Covers the contracting and expanding variants, the four sub-types of contracting (symmetrical, ascending, descending, barrier), and the running variant where B exceeds the start of A. Interactive drag test for B and E. Lesson 3 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · Double Three (WXY)

The first of the complex corrections. Two corrective patterns (W and Y) joined by a connecting X wave to form a single larger correction. Covers the double zigzag (both W and Y as zigzags), the double combination (mixed forms like zigzag plus flat), and the Y > W diagnostic that distinguishes a double three from a simple ABC. Interactive drag test for Y. Lesson 4 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · Triple Three (WXYXZ)

The deepest standard corrective form. Three corrective patterns (W, Y, Z) joined by two X waves. Covers the triple zigzag (all three as zigzags - extremely rare), the triple combination (mixed forms, often with a triangle as the final Z), and the Z > Y > W hierarchy rule. Interactive drag test for Z. Lesson 5 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · Alternation & Diagnostics

The synthesis lesson and final piece of the Corrective Patterns module. Covers the alternation principle linking Wave 2 and Wave 4, the real-time diagnostic checklist for identifying corrective patterns, the characteristic Fibonacci ratios by pattern type, the most common counting mistakes, and the complete practical workflow. Lesson 6 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Motive Wave Variants · Leading Diagonal

The opening lesson of the new Motive Wave Variants module. The leading diagonal is the 5-wave structure that appears at the start of trends. Classical theory describes it as a wedge with W1-W4 overlap, but in modern markets many LDs look like clean impulses with no overlap at all. The real diagnostic is the 3-3-3-3-3 sub-wave count - the shape can lie, the sub-structure tells the truth. Covers the textbook wedge, the practical reality, the throw-over, and post-diagonal price behaviour. Lesson 1 of 6.

Motive Wave VariantsInteractive Lesson
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Motive Wave Variants · Ending Diagonal

The mirror image of the leading diagonal. Same wedge structure, same 3-3-3-3-3 sub-counts, same overlap allowance - but appearing at the END of trends rather than the start. Signals imminent reversal. Completion is followed by a sharp move back to (or beyond) the start of the ED, often retraced in a fraction of the time the pattern took to form. One of the most actionable reversal patterns in Elliott Wave. Interactive drag tests for W4 and W5. Lesson 2 of 6.

Motive Wave VariantsInteractive Lesson
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Motive Wave Variants · Wave Extensions

In most real-market impulses, one of the three motive waves (W1, W3, or W5) is dramatically longer than the other two - typically 1.618x or more. This is the wave extension. Covers the three extension types (W3 extension as the most common, W5 extension for commodities and blow-off tops, the rare W1 extension), the visible 5-wave internal sub-structure that identifies the extended wave, characteristic Fibonacci relationships, and how to recognize an extension in real time. Lesson 3 of 6.

Motive Wave VariantsInteractive Lesson
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Motive Wave Variants · Truncation (Failed Fifth)

Truncation is the failed fifth wave. The impulse completes its full 5-wave structure with W5 still showing its internal (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) count, but W5 fails to exceed the high of W3. All other impulse rules hold. The signal is exhaustion: the trend has lost momentum and a sharp reversal typically follows, often retracing the entire impulse back to its starting level. One of the strongest structural warnings Elliott Wave gives. Lesson 4 of 6.

Motive Wave VariantsInteractive Lesson
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Motive Wave Variants · Channeling

Channeling is the practical art of drawing parallel trendlines through an unfolding impulse to project targets and confirm completion. Three stages: base channel after W2, modified channel after W3, final channel after W4. The final channel projects where W5 will end (at, above, or just inside the upper line). A clean break of the lower channel line after W5 confirms the impulse is complete. One of the most actionable projection techniques in Elliott Wave. Lesson 5 of 6.

Motive Wave VariantsInteractive Lesson
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Motive Wave Variants · Synthesis & Decision Workflow

The complete synthesis of the Motive Wave Variants module. Six diagnostic questions arising in sequence as an impulse unfolds: Q1 (Leading Diagonal at the start?), Q2 (Ending Diagonal at the top?), Q3 (which wave is extending?), Q4 (will W5 exceed W3-top?), Q5 (where does the final channel project W5?), Q6 (has the channel broken to confirm completion?). The integrated real-time workflow that combines all five technique-lessons into one decision framework. Lesson 6 of 6 - module closing.

Motive Wave VariantsInteractive Lesson
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Wave Personality & Sentiment · Wave 1: The Move Nobody Believes

Wave 1 emerges from the end of a bear market or sharp correction, when sentiment is darkest and the crowd is most convinced the downtrend continues. Six dimensions of W1 personality covered: cycle position, mass sentiment, news flow, volume signature, crowd behavior, and the transition to W2. The contrarian opportunity hidden in plain sight - dismissed by the majority while smart money positions quietly. Lesson 1 of 6.

Wave Personality & SentimentInteractive Lesson
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Wave Personality & Sentiment · Wave 2: The Bear is Back

Wave 2 is the deep retracement (often 50 to 78 percent of W1) that appears to confirm bears. Sentiment turns dark again, news headlines return to the recession narrative, late shorts pile in, and W1 longs panic out. The critical structural rule: W2 must NOT break below the W1-low - that is the count\'s hard floor and the trader\'s invalidation level. The phase where consensus is most wrong is the phase right before W3 launches. Lesson 2 of 6.

Wave Personality & SentimentInteractive Lesson
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Wave Personality & Sentiment · Wave 3: The Recognition Wave

Wave 3 is the recognition wave - the longest and strongest leg of the impulse. Surging volume, breakout momentum, sentiment shift from bearish to bullish, news narrative flip, short squeeze, and FOMO chase all converge here. W3 typically extends 1.618x to 2.618x of W1. The structural rule: W3 cannot be the shortest motive wave - one of the three absolute rules of Elliott Wave. Lesson 3 of 6.

Wave Personality & SentimentInteractive Lesson
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Wave Personality & Sentiment · Wave 4: The Consolidation

Wave 4 is the pause that traps shorts and tests bulls. Shallow retracement (23.6 to 38.2 percent of W3), sideways structure, declining volume, complacent sentiment with low VIX. Bears who short the W3 top get trapped. Bulls who buy the dip get rewarded. The structural rule: W4 cannot enter W1 territory - one of the three absolute rules of Elliott Wave. The alternation guideline: W4 differs in form from W2. Lesson 4 of 6.

Wave Personality & SentimentInteractive Lesson
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Wave Personality & Sentiment · Wave 5: Euphoria and Divergence

Wave 5 is the euphoric finale. Price prints new highs while internals weaken: declining volume versus W3, narrowing breadth, bearish momentum divergence on RSI and MACD. Sentiment hits euphoric extremes with "new paradigm" narratives and peak retail FOMO. Smart money distributes into the strength. The throw-over above the channel upper line is the classic exhaustion pattern. Recognizing W5 in real time is the difference between selling near the top and riding the entire ABC correction down. Lesson 5 of 6.

Wave Personality & SentimentInteractive Lesson
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Wave Personality & Sentiment · ABC: The Corrective Phase

The ABC corrective phase completes the cycle. Three waves, three emotional phases: A is denial (the first leg dismissed as a healthy pullback), B is hope (the bull-trap that catches both sides of the market), C is despair (the capitulation that marks the bottom). Eight total emotional phases across the full Elliott cycle - fear, relief, confidence, complacency, euphoria, denial, hope, despair. This finale synthesizes the full sentiment journey and shows how the corrective phase mirrors the impulse in reverse. Module 4 finale, Lesson 6 of 6.

Wave Personality & SentimentInteractive Lesson
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Corrective Patterns · The Flat

The sideways corrective pattern. 3-3-5 sub-wave structure: A and B are corrective threes, C is an impulsive five. Three variants covered: regular, expanded (the most common form in real markets), and running (rare, strong trend signal). The flat is the typical Wave 4 of an impulse, alternating with the sharper Wave 2 zigzag. Lesson 2 of 6.

Corrective PatternsInteractive Lesson
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Confluence Reader

Practice reading multiple framework layers through one another. Identify confluence and disagreement across structure, cycles, expectations, and probability. Build the discipline of multi-layer scenario thinking.

MethodologyMulti-Layer Exercise
In preparation
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Fibonacci Geometry

Adjust ratios and projection levels. Understand the geometric relationships that recur in market structures, and the limits of pattern-based reasoning when the underlying structure is uncertain.

Market StructureVisualisation
In preparation
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Historical Comparison Tool

Place two historical periods side by side. Compare structural, cyclical, and sentiment readings across eras. Develop reference-class reasoning grounded in actual market history.

MethodologyComparative Analysis
In preparation

Studies are released as they are built; each module is constructed with the same foundation-grade care as the Library. For settled methodology, see the Library. For working research, see Notes.