A growing collection of concept primers on market structure, cycles, mass psychology, and probabilistic decision-making. Methodically researched. Freely accessible.
On the work of the MCO Foundation, in plain terms. What we do. What we believe about markets. What we are. What we are not. A short statement of position and method.
Read the statementThe foundation's methodological position. Markets as phenomena that emerge through the entangled actions of participants and observers; five complementary layers of inquiry held in conversation rather than collapsed into a single forecast.
An introduction to structural market analysis, from Ralph Nelson Elliott's wave theory to contemporary work on fractal patterns and scenario architecture.
The systematic study of cycles in markets. Edward Dewey, Kondratieff long waves, and Schumpeter's three-cycle model, with the modern mathematical methods that allow cyclic patterns to be detected, measured, and tested.
On Bayesian thinking, scenario weighting, and the discipline of calibrated forecasting under uncertainty. The integrative layer of the foundation's framework treated in depth.
On Soros's reflexivity, Shiller's narratives, and the architecture of belief in financial markets. How collective expectations shape market reactions and the gap between fundamental reality and the price emerging from collective interpretation of it.
The pedagogical commitment of the foundation. Why most financial education fails, what serious teaching of markets actually requires, and how careful method becomes a public capability rather than a professional monopoly.
The library is a living collection. Additional concept primers will be published as research progresses and the foundation's work matures.